Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.000061 0.000064 0.000067 0.000070 0.000073 0.000077 0.000081
2025-03-09 0.000055 0.000059 0.000063 0.000068 0.000073 0.000079 0.000087
2025-03-16 0.000051 0.000056 0.000061 0.000068 0.000075 0.000083 0.000093
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000055 0.000061 0.000069 0.000078 0.000088 0.000101
2025-03-30 0.000047 0.000053 0.000060 0.000068 0.000078 0.000090 0.000106
2025-04-06 0.000044 0.000050 0.000057 0.000066 0.000076 0.000089 0.000107
2025-04-13 0.000042 0.000048 0.000054 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000107
2025-04-20 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000061 0.000072 0.000086 0.000106
2025-04-27 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000071 0.000086 0.000107
2025-05-04 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000060 0.000073 0.000090 0.000114
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000061 0.000074 0.000093 0.000120
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000043 0.000052 0.000063 0.000078 0.000098 0.000130
2025-05-25 0.000035 0.000042 0.000050 0.000061 0.000077 0.000098 0.000132
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000040 0.000048 0.000060 0.000075 0.000097 0.000133
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000040 0.000048 0.000059 0.000076 0.000100 0.000139
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000078 0.000104 0.000149
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000078 0.000105 0.000153
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000058 0.000076 0.000103 0.000152
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000073 0.000101 0.000149
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000054 0.000071 0.000098 0.000147
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000053 0.000070 0.000098 0.000148
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000053 0.000072 0.000101 0.000157
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000054 0.000073 0.000105 0.000166